A 3rd possibility is that you might start off well, then go up and down for a little while, basically breaking even for a few months, but you'll want better than that...you'll think your luck has been awful, whereas in reality your luck is about average or maybe even a little better than average. Then burnout could occur and you'll need a break...you'll take a much needed break because you'll see that people on forums will tell you that after a break, things go much better....however, people who have said those things, are just experiencing good short term variance after the break. In reality, they were just plain lucky that things went better for them after they returned from the break....so...you might take the much needed break, come back with a refreshed mind and good confidence..only to find that your luck is still the same or maybe even worse than what it was before you went on the break...at that time you will be looking for answers in mysterious places, for example in the church, or maybe you believe in karma and you'll examine your life to see if you have bad karma or something...upon concluding that there's nothing wrong with your karma, you could end up throwing your hands up in the air, then loudly proclaim "I give up", then actually try to give up, but then later on give it another go, only to find that no matter what you do, you're just plain not lucky enough to make it to $10K.