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  1. #1
    Elite PokerOwned Member MrPokerVerse's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2011
    Posts
    697
    Stumbled across this in my Poker file (I'm not the author), pretty basic for staight and flush draws or outs in general.

    Chasing a Flush

    For the first card, you know 5 of the 52 cards in the deck are. So
    there are 47 unknown cards... and for your flush you know that 4 of
    the 13 possible clubs are already in your sight. So ther are 9 cards
    remaining. 9/47 = 19.1%

    If you haven't gotten your flush yet, then you know 6 of the 52
    cards... and you know that 4 of them are clubs. The odds this time
    are 9/46 = 19.6%.

    We can't just add 19.1% + 19.6% because that would double count any
    instance when both cards would be clubs. So it is 19.1% + 19.6% - (19.1%*19.6%) = 35%.
    "When a man with money meets a man with experience, the man with experience leaves with money and the man with money leaves with experience." anonymous quote

  2. #2
    Elite PokerOwned Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Posts
    528
    i think i would just check and see what he does then decide

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