Thoughts on the double-check range

[guicor30]

Chidwick calls a 3-bet preflop and checks both flop and turn. Because of the funnel principle we can discount most of the best hands at this point: queens and better pairs he would probably re-raise preflop; the chances that he still holds some overpair combos are close to zero after the check-raise.

Chidwick could hold about 20 straight combos on the turn, as long as he calls 66, 67s, 65s, A6s and 86s preflop. On the other hand there are around 170 combos without a straight. With the straight combos there would still be the question of whether or not he bets them on the turn as it is not unlikely that Phil Galfond tries to reach the showdown with a medium-strength hand.

We cannot answer this question without the exact stack sizes. In the video the stacks seem - simply by looking at the chips - possible to get all-in with bet turn, bet river all-in. This is an argument for a turn bet with a straight.

[Breezy]

Thanks for the write. Interesting stuff.

[DuckU408]

double checking is good idea. no matter how i shake and wiggle and dance, the very few last drop always fell in my pants.