I folded KK on the bubble short stacked a while back. My thinking was, even if i quadruple up the odds of me even making the first pay bump were still not good, so i mucked it and ended up making the min cash. I took a TON of shit from people here about it. I didn't care because I truly thought I made the right decision. I think that a lot of the time, in tournament poker survival is more important than equity. So in your case it really all comes down to this, are you willing to sacrifice equity in order to guarantee your survival? Obviously you are.
Against 3 hands like this the absolute best case you are 71% to win, so you will still lose(or tie) 29% of the time, so more than 1 out of 5 times you will bust. Worst case scenario you are about 51% so you will lose (or tie) %49 of the time, so basically 1 out of 2 times you will bust. So you have to decide if you are willing to risk your tournament life on a hand where u will lose 29-48% of the time. While I disagree with your decision as it is one I wouldn't make myself, I will not call it a mistake on the button of a tournament, i would just call it a judgement call. Ultimately anytime you call an all in preflop you are gambling and I would never call choosing not to gamble(especially with your whole stack) a mistake.
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Thread: fold AA preflop?
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02-08-2014, 06:24 PM #10
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Last edited by nab76; 02-08-2014 at 06:26 PM.